DELPHOS · PYTHIA
PYTHIA · Análisis y predicción
PYTHIA PORTFOLIO INTELLIGENCE
Panel ejecutivo de decisión
Juego: PROGOL · Variante: PRINCIPAL · Histórico hasta sorteo: 2345 · Fecha: 10/08/2026 · Predicción para el próximo sorteo
Artefacto 7755e84334ea2c918b3ce05e6184eaad83c0d81110979b0a163604aea11d2011
01
Mecanismos mejor evaluados
Estas tablas evalúan métodos; no son el grupo de jugadas recomendado para el próximo sorteo.
Prueba retrospectiva automática (walk-forward)
Simulación histórica: el modelo intenta predecir cada uno de los últimos sorteos usando solamente la información que existía antes de ese sorteo. Sirve para comparar mecanismos en condiciones iguales y sin fuga de datos.
| # | Mecanismo | Combinación propuesta | Acierto promedio | Aciertos por sorteo | Muestra |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frecuencia por posición | resultados0101010101010101010101010101 | 37.4% | 5.23 | 30 |
| 2 | Markov por posición | resultados0101030101010301010103030101 | 35.7% | 5.00 | 30 |
| 3 | Control aleatorio | resultados0203030101010302020102030203 | 33.3% | 4.67 | 30 |
Seguimiento de resultados oficiales posteriores
Desempeño real: compara las combinaciones que PYTHIA guardó en ejecuciones anteriores contra los sorteos oficiales publicados después. La muestra aumenta conforme ocurren nuevos sorteos.
Los nuevos mecanismos aún no cuentan con un resultado oficial posterior a su incorporación.
00
Pronósticos para el próximo sorteo
Maximizar cobertura marginal
Combinación producida por cada mecanismo
| # | Mecanismo | Pronóstico para el próximo sorteo |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Control aleatorio | resultados0203030101010302020102030203 |
| 2 | Adaptativo posicional | resultados0101030101010301030103010101 |
| 3 | Frecuencia por posición | resultados0101010101010101010101010101 |
| 4 | Markov por posición | resultados0101030101010301010103030101 |
01
0203030101010302020102030203
02
0101030101010301010103030101
03
0101010101010101010101010101
04
0101030101010301030103010101
02
Números por modelo
| modelo | 01 | 02 | 03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| [email protected] | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| [email protected] | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| [email protected] | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| [email protected] | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
03
Números por combinación
| ticket | 01 | 02 | 03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 01 03 01 01 01 03 01 03 01 03 01 01 01 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 02 03 03 01 01 01 03 02 02 01 02 03 02 03 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 01 01 03 01 01 01 03 01 01 01 03 03 01 01 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
04
Complementariedad
| modelo | [email protected] | [email protected] | [email protected] | [email protected] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| [email protected] | 0.0 | 0.33333333333333337 | 0.6666666666666667 | 0.33333333333333337 |
| [email protected] | 0.33333333333333337 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| [email protected] | 0.6666666666666667 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| [email protected] | 0.33333333333333337 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
05
Redundancia
| modelo | [email protected] | [email protected] | [email protected] | [email protected] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| [email protected] | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.6666666666666666 |
| [email protected] | 0.6666666666666666 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| [email protected] | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| [email protected] | 0.6666666666666666 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
06
Relaciones entre modelos
07
Relaciones entre números
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08
Modelo → número → portafolio
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09
Estabilidad histórica
| portafolio | estabilidad |
|---|---|
| portfolio.b.max_coverage | 0.0 |
| portfolio.c.max_diversity | 0.0 |
| portfolio.g.system | 0.0 |
| portfolio.h.custom | 0.0 |
| portfolio.a.max_probability | 0.0 |
| portfolio.d.cost_benefit | 0.0 |
| portfolio.e.max_3_plus | 0.0 |
| portfolio.f.max_4_plus | 0.0 |
10
Comparativo por modelo
| modelo | soporte | diversidad |
|---|---|---|
| [email protected] | 3.0 | 0.44444444444444453 |
| [email protected] | 2.0 | 0.2777777777777778 |
| [email protected] | 1.0 | 0.5555555555555556 |
| [email protected] | 2.0 | 0.2777777777777778 |
11
Indicadores del portafolio líder
| cobertura | diversidad | redundancia | confianza | riesgo | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | 0.38888888888888895 | 0.611111111111111 | 0.0 | 0.6203703703703703 | 1.0 |
12
Panel ejecutivo
| ranking | perfil | tickets | costo | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | portfolio.b.max_coverage | 4 | 40 | 1.0 |
| 2 | portfolio.c.max_diversity | 4 | 40 | 0.38888888888888895 |
| 3 | portfolio.g.system | 4 | 40 | 0.37962962962962965 |
| 4 | portfolio.h.custom | 4 | 40 | 0.35370370370370374 |
| 5 | portfolio.a.max_probability | 4 | 40 | 0.0 |
| 6 | portfolio.d.cost_benefit | 4 | 40 | 0.0 |
| 7 | portfolio.e.max_3_plus | 4 | 40 | 0.0 |
| 8 | portfolio.f.max_4_plus | 4 | 40 | 0.0 |
Los resultados son análisis probabilísticos y no garantizan premios o rentabilidad.